Final · Finals 2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
357.87 – 296.63
68%32%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
240 – 284
Prediction missed · off by 65.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 602.6 ±9.9
Season APEX 227.6Event APEX 157.6Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 60Event APEX 42.15Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 315Event APEX 158.12Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 635.8 ±9.9
Season APEX 46.1Event APEX 8.07Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 290.9Event APEX 167.15Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 298.8Event APEX 121.41Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 687, 1515, 2073
80
/ 100 compatProjected
357.9 pts
~2.0 RP (district)
Teams: 687, 1515, 2073
Auto
66.2 19%
Teleop
209.9 60%
Endgame
72.6 21%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 59%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9706, 294, 2659
83
/ 100 compatProjected
296.6 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 9706, 294, 2659
Auto
53.9 18%
Teleop
166.8 57%
Endgame
73.3 25%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 59%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.03 · Blue 1.23
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score357.9pts
Blue projected score296.6pts
Red win probability68%
Event bonus sample168alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 59%, blue 51%
Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 7%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 61.2
- Score range
- 262–393
- Upset likelihood
- 32%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
602.6Season APEX635.8
66.2Auto53.9
209.9Teleop166.8
72.6Endgame73.3
3Consistency30
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 82 | 41 |
| teleop | 132 | 124 |
| endgame | 26 | 119 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 240 | 284 |
Result
Final score
240 – 284
Prediction missed · off by 65.3 pts
Match videos
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