Final · Finals 1
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
375.74 – 305.68
71%29%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
236 – 211
Prediction correct · off by 117.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 602.6 ±9.9
Season APEX 227.6Event APEX 163.78Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 315Event APEX 164.07Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 60Event APEX 47.89Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 635.8 ±9.9
Season APEX 46.1Event APEX 10.84Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 290.9Event APEX 170.59Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 298.8Event APEX 124.25Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 687, 2073, 1515
79
/ 100 compatProjected
375.7 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 687, 2073, 1515
Auto
63.7 17%
Teleop
226.3 62%
Endgame
77.4 21%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 59%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9706, 294, 2659
82
/ 100 compatProjected
305.7 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 9706, 294, 2659
Auto
56.0 19%
Teleop
172.2 57%
Endgame
74.5 25%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 59%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.08 · Blue 1.19
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score375.7pts
Blue projected score305.7pts
Red win probability71%
Event bonus sample168alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 59%, blue 51%
Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 7%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 70.1
- Score range
- 271–411
- Upset likelihood
- 29%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
602.6Season APEX635.8
63.7Auto56
226.3Teleop172.2
77.4Endgame74.5
2Consistency30
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 83 | 34 |
| teleop | 98 | 115 |
| endgame | 40 | 62 |
| foul | 15 | 0 |
| total | 236 | 211 |
Result
Final score
236 – 211
Prediction correct · off by 117.2 pts
Match videos
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