FIRST Alberta Canadian Rockies Open @ KDays

Playoff · Playoff Match 6 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

47.78 – 43.5

54%46%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

0 – 1

Prediction missed · off by 45.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

9988Offseason demo team

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 0Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

9989Offseason demo team

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 0Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

9984Offseason demo team

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 0Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 2.3 ±57.8

9990Offseason demo team

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 15.22Rank 15Record 3-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

11302Hot Rods

Provisional

Season APEX 2.3Event APEX 21.62Rank 11Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

9980Offseason demo team

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -0.07Rank 10Record 5-4-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9988, 9989, 9984

/ 100 compat

Projected

0 pts

~0.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9988, 9989, 9984

Auto

0.0 0%

Teleop

0.0 0%

Endgame

0.0 0%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 12%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9990, 11302, 9980

/ 100 compat

Projected

36.8 pts

~1.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9990, 11302, 9980

Auto

7.5 20%

Teleop

22.0 60%

Endgame

7.3 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 12%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.93 · Blue 1.39

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score0pts

Blue projected score36.8pts

Red win probability39%

Event bonus sample90alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 12%, blue 12%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 4.3
Score range: 31–61
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-09-04
Model: apex-0.5.1

Match context

Close match

Playoff

Combined score 1 vs event baseline 69.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

0Season APEX2.3

0Auto7.5

0Teleop22

0Endgame7.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	0	0
teleop	0	0
endgame	0	0
foul	0	0
total	0	1

Result

Final score

0 – 1

Prediction missed · off by 45.1 pts