Playoff · Playoff Match 9 R3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

201.2 – 231.43

41%59%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

94 – 244

Prediction correct · off by 59.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 253.8 ±17.5

9487KRYPTON FRC

Season APEX 84.8Event APEX 67.68Rank 6Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 77

10298LUVER CONTROL

Season APEX 63.4Event APEX 47.98Rank 16Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 77

9047TECHMAKER ROBOTICS

Season APEX 105.6Event APEX 85.54Rank 7Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 423.2 ±13.1

9604TUIUTECH

Season APEX 66.7Event APEX 24.08Rank 20Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 79

9175BrainMachine-FRC

Season APEX 171.2Event APEX 118.22Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7565SESI SENAI ROBONÁTICOS

Season APEX 185.3Event APEX 89.13Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9487, 10298, 9047

/ 100 compat

Projected

201.2 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 9487, 10298, 9047

Auto

44.0 22%

Teleop

96.2 49%

Endgame

56.3 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9604, 9175, 7565

/ 100 compat

Projected

231.4 pts

~1.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 9604, 9175, 7565

Auto

37.7 16%

Teleop

139.6 61%

Endgame

51.9 23%

Strengths

· 9175 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.4 · Blue 1.74

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score201.2pts

Blue projected score231.4pts

Red win probability41%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -30.2
Score range: 178–254
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 338 vs event baseline 130.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

253.8Season APEX423.2

44Auto37.7

96.2Teleop139.6

56.3Endgame51.9

29Consistency22

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	34	44
teleop	36	129
endgame	19	56
foul	5	15
total	94	244

Result

Final score

94 – 244

Prediction correct · off by 59.9 pts

Match videos

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