Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

308.29 – 199.27

80%20%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

404 – 214

Prediction correct · off by 55.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 726.4 ±11.2

7563SESI SENAI MEGAZORD

Season APEX 186.3Event APEX 95.76Rank 3Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1884Griffins

Season APEX 284.1Event APEX 12.52Rank 41Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1156Under Control

Season APEX 256Event APEX 200.01Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 253.8 ±17.5

9047TECHMAKER ROBOTICS

Season APEX 105.6Event APEX 84.5Rank 7Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10298LUVER CONTROL

Season APEX 63.4Event APEX 47.6Rank 16Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 77

9487KRYPTON FRC

Season APEX 84.8Event APEX 67.17Rank 6Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 77

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7563, 1884, 1156

/ 100 compat

Projected

308.3 pts

~2.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 7563, 1884, 1156

Auto

52.3 17%

Teleop

182.0 59%

Endgame

71.8 23%

Strengths

· 1156 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9047, 10298, 9487

/ 100 compat

Projected

199.3 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 9047, 10298, 9487

Auto

42.7 22%

Teleop

97.6 51%

Endgame

52.9 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.08 · Blue 1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score308.3pts

Blue projected score199.3pts

Red win probability80%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 109
Score range: 176–331
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 618 vs event baseline 126.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

726.4Season APEX253.8

52.3Auto42.7

182Teleop97.6

71.8Endgame52.9

0Consistency25

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	65	50
teleop	248	92
endgame	91	72
foul	0	0
total	404	214

Result

Final score

404 – 214

Prediction correct · off by 55.2 pts

Match videos

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