Playoff · Playoff Match 6 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

217.97 – 153.99

69%31%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

276 – 109

Prediction correct · off by 51.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 423.2 ±13.1

9604TUIUTECH

Season APEX 66.7Event APEX 19.4Rank 20Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 79

9175BrainMachine-FRC

Season APEX 171.2Event APEX 114.08Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7565SESI SENAI ROBONÁTICOS

Season APEX 185.3Event APEX 84.49Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 244 ±15.8

10190UNIMATE - SESI SENAI SC

Season APEX 79.4Event APEX 31Rank 9Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 76

9199SESI SENAI SHARKS

Season APEX 67.6Event APEX 46.98Rank 35Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1860Alphabots

Season APEX 97Event APEX 76.01Rank 18Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9604, 9175, 7565

/ 100 compat

Projected

218 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 9604, 9175, 7565

Auto

35.3 16%

Teleop

134.7 62%

Endgame

46.5 21%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10190, 9199, 1860

/ 100 compat

Projected

154 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 10190, 9199, 1860

Auto

34.7 23%

Teleop

82.1 54%

Endgame

34.5 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.93 · Blue 1.11

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score218pts

Blue projected score154pts

Red win probability69%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 64
Score range: 131–241
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 385 vs event baseline 129.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

423.2Season APEX244

35.3Auto34.7

134.7Teleop82.1

46.5Endgame34.5

49Consistency37

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	45	13
teleop	154	29
endgame	72	57
foul	5	10
total	276	109

Result

Final score

276 – 109

Prediction correct · off by 51.5 pts

Match videos

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