Playoff · Playoff Match 2 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

228.5 – 115.76

80%20%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

160 – 142

Prediction correct · off by 47.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 270.1 ±15.8

9047TECHMAKER ROBOTICS

Season APEX 105.6Event APEX 89.08Rank 7Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9162ALL MIGHT

Season APEX 79.7Event APEX 66.3Rank 33Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94

9487KRYPTON FRC

Season APEX 84.8Event APEX 73.12Rank 6Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 77

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 218.2 ±16.3

9219Nine Tails

Season APEX 39.1Event APEX -4.92Rank 36Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 92

10466Federal Force

Season APEX 77Event APEX 28.02Rank 8Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 76

9085SESI SENAI MEGA HARPY

Season APEX 102.1Event APEX 92.66Rank 13Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9047, 9162, 9487

/ 100 compat

Projected

228.5 pts

~2.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 9047, 9162, 9487

Auto

45.4 21%

Teleop

116.8 53%

Endgame

58.8 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9219, 10466, 9085

/ 100 compat

Projected

115.8 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 9219, 10466, 9085

Auto

17.0 14%

Teleop

71.3 60%

Endgame

30.6 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.16 · Blue 0.86

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score228.5pts

Blue projected score115.8pts

Red win probability80%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 112.7
Score range: 94–251
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 302 vs event baseline 124.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

270.1Season APEX218.2

45.4Auto17

116.8Teleop71.3

58.8Endgame30.6

4Consistency48

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	46	26
teleop	81	59
endgame	18	57
foul	15	0
total	160	142

Result

Final score

160 – 142

Prediction correct · off by 47.4 pts

Match videos

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