Qualification · Qualification 9

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

36 – 34.21

51%49%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

118 – 139

Prediction missed · off by 93.4 points

Limited current-season data (8 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 206.9 ±20.2

9168AGROBOT

Season APEX 85.1Event APEX 19.43Rank 19Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 77

1772The Brazilian Trail Blazers

Provisional

Season APEX 65.7Event APEX 4.86Rank 24Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

11201MangTech

Provisional

Season APEX 56.1Event APEX 11.71Rank 38Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 275.3 ±17.7

9602CANINTECH

Provisional

Season APEX 34.9Event APEX 4.29Rank 46Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

7567SESI SENAI OCTOPUS

Season APEX 155.6Event APEX -Rank 5Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9487KRYPTON FRC

Season APEX 84.8Event APEX 12Rank 6Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 77

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9168, 1772, 11201

/ 100 compat

Projected

36 pts

~1.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 9168, 1772, 11201

Auto

10.0 33%

Teleop

14.6 48%

Endgame

5.7 19%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9602, 7567, 9487

/ 100 compat

Projected

34.2 pts

~1.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 9602, 7567, 9487

Auto

9.9 30%

Teleop

17.2 53%

Endgame

5.6 17%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.51 · Blue 1.46

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score36pts

Blue projected score34.2pts

Red win probability51%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 1.8
Score range: 15–55
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 257 vs event baseline 107.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

206.9Season APEX275.3

10Auto4.6

14.6Teleop8.3

5.7Endgame2

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	10	33
teleop	71	69
endgame	32	37
foul	5	0
total	118	139

Result

Final score

118 – 139

Prediction missed · off by 93.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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