Qualification · Qualification 82

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

136.54 – 176.87

38%62%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

221 – 282

Prediction correct · off by 94.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 217.8 ±16.3

9085SESI SENAI MEGA HARPY

Season APEX 102.1Event APEX 85.31Rank 13Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11105GC 4 Tomorrow

Season APEX 52.3Event APEX 11.86Rank 43Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 89

10298LUVER CONTROL

Season APEX 63.4Event APEX 39.37Rank 16Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 77

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 241.6 ±15.8

9487KRYPTON FRC

Season APEX 84.8Event APEX 63.72Rank 6Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 77

9169AGROTECH

Season APEX 77.1Event APEX 55.3Rank 29Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9162ALL MIGHT

Season APEX 79.7Event APEX 57.85Rank 33Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9085, 11105, 10298

/ 100 compat

Projected

136.5 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 9085, 11105, 10298

Auto

21.8 16%

Teleop

73.0 54%

Endgame

41.4 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9487, 9169, 9162

/ 100 compat

Projected

176.9 pts

~1.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 9487, 9169, 9162

Auto

51.2 29%

Teleop

77.0 44%

Endgame

45.7 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.28 · Blue 1.72

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score136.5pts

Blue projected score176.9pts

Red win probability38%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -40.3
Score range: 115–199
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 503 vs event baseline 121.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

217.8Season APEX241.6

21.8Auto51.2

73Teleop77

41.4Endgame45.7

19Consistency4

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	54
teleop	117	161
endgame	76	47
foul	5	20
total	221	282

Result

Final score

221 – 282

Prediction correct · off by 94.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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