Qualification · Qualification 80

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

51.77 – 72.98

43%57%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

47 – 65

Prediction correct · off by 6.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 147.1 ±19.7

9602CANINTECH

Provisional

Season APEX 34.9Event APEX 2.12Rank 46Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

10343Tera Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 45.5Event APEX 29.46Rank 37Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

9604TUIUTECH

Season APEX 66.7Event APEX 20.19Rank 20Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 79

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 229.8 ±18.4

7567SESI SENAI OCTOPUS

Season APEX 155.6Event APEX 75.11Rank 5Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9178Cyber One

Provisional

Season APEX 47Event APEX 2.99Rank 28Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

8276OPTRON#8276

Provisional

Season APEX 27.2Event APEX -5.12Rank 44Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9602, 10343, 9604

/ 100 compat

Projected

51.8 pts

~1.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 9602, 10343, 9604

Auto

8.0 15%

Teleop

28.7 55%

Endgame

15.3 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7567, 9178, 8276

/ 100 compat

Projected

73 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 7567, 9178, 8276

Auto

12.5 18%

Teleop

28.4 42%

Endgame

27.2 40%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.24 · Blue 1.58

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score51.8pts

Blue projected score73pts

Red win probability43%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 34%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -21.2
Score range: 30–95
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 112 vs event baseline 123.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

147.1Season APEX229.8

8Auto12.5

28.7Teleop28.4

15.3Endgame27.2

73Consistency10

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	23
teleop	27	31
endgame	0	6
foul	0	5
total	47	65

Result

Final score

47 – 65

Prediction correct · off by 6.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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