Qualification · Qualification 8
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
52.54 – 52.54
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
175 – 74
Prediction correct · off by 72 points
Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 264.8 ±16.5
Season APEX 105.6Event APEX -Rank 7Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 86.8Event APEX -Rank 30Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
9603MTECH
Provisional
Season APEX 72.4Event APEX -Rank 23Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 178 ±15
Season APEX 50.8Event APEX -Rank 31Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 89
Season APEX 50.1Event APEX -Rank 32Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 89
Season APEX 77.1Event APEX -Rank 29Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9047, 9458, 9603
50
/ 100 compatProjected
52.5 pts
~1.5 RP (regional)
Teams: 9047, 9458, 9603
Auto
15.8 30%
Teleop
26.3 50%
Endgame
10.5 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 48%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 10345, 9486, 9169
50
/ 100 compatProjected
52.5 pts
~1.4 RP (regional)
Teams: 10345, 9486, 9169
Auto
15.8 30%
Teleop
26.3 50%
Endgame
10.5 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 48%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.52 · Blue 1.4
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score52.5pts
Blue projected score52.5pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample194alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 48%, blue 36%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0
- Score range
- 34–72
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
264.8Season APEX178
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 19 | 40 |
| teleop | 92 | 21 |
| endgame | 44 | 13 |
| foul | 20 | 0 |
| total | 175 | 74 |
Result
Final score
175 – 74
Prediction correct · off by 72 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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