Qualification · Qualification 79

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

89.45 – 201.53

20%80%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

79 – 277

Prediction correct · off by 43 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 206.2 ±17

9218Alpha #9218

Provisional

Season APEX 74.1Event APEX 21.77Rank 26Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

7459Taubatexas Robotics

Season APEX 45.3Event APEX 9.35Rank 45Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 89

9458SESI SENAI JACTECH

Season APEX 86.8Event APEX 58.33Rank 30Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 353.3 ±14.9

9175BrainMachine-FRC

Season APEX 171.2Event APEX 114.52Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9168AGROBOT

Season APEX 85.1Event APEX 22.94Rank 19Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 77

1860Alphabots

Season APEX 97Event APEX 64.07Rank 18Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9218, 7459, 9458

/ 100 compat

Projected

89.4 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 9218, 7459, 9458

Auto

17.2 20%

Teleop

41.7 48%

Endgame

27.9 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9175, 9168, 1860

/ 100 compat

Projected

201.5 pts

~2.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 9175, 9168, 1860

Auto

34.1 17%

Teleop

121.3 61%

Endgame

44.7 22%

Strengths

· 9175 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.76 · Blue 2.16

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score89.4pts

Blue projected score201.5pts

Red win probability20%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 32%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -112.1
Score range: 67–224
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 356 vs event baseline 122.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

206.2Season APEX353.3

17.2Auto34.1

41.7Teleop121.3

27.9Endgame44.7

0Consistency72

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	35	54
teleop	29	140
endgame	15	68
foul	0	15
total	79	277

Result

Final score

79 – 277

Prediction correct · off by 43 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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