Qualification · Qualification 76

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

39.75 – 53.24

46%54%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

75 – 40

Prediction missed · off by 24.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 155 ±16.3

9219Nine Tails

Season APEX 39.1Event APEX -5.83Rank 36Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 92

9611SESI SENAI SC CyberRain

Season APEX 52.5Event APEX 8.75Rank 39Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94

10298LUVER CONTROL

Season APEX 63.4Event APEX 36.83Rank 16Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 77

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 381.3 ±16

1884Griffins

Season APEX 284.1Event APEX 15.39Rank 41Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6902STRIKE

Provisional

Season APEX 27.7Event APEX -6.28Rank 48Record 1-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

9460SESI SENAI STEEL BULLS

Season APEX 69.5Event APEX 44.13Rank 14Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9219, 9611, 10298

/ 100 compat

Projected

39.8 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 9219, 9611, 10298

Auto

25.0 64%

Teleop

6.4 16%

Endgame

7.5 19%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1884, 6902, 9460

/ 100 compat

Projected

53.2 pts

~1.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 1884, 6902, 9460

Auto

19.8 38%

Teleop

26.2 50%

Endgame

6.8 13%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.3 · Blue 1.48

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score39.8pts

Blue projected score53.2pts

Red win probability46%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 35%, blue 35%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -13.5
Score range: 18–75
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 115 vs event baseline 120.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

155Season APEX381.3

25Auto19.8

6.4Teleop26.2

7.5Endgame6.8

65Consistency29

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	20
teleop	40	5
endgame	13	10
foul	0	5
total	75	40

Result

Final score

75 – 40

Prediction missed · off by 24.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.