Qualification · Qualification 68

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

105.55 – 205.36

22%78%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

148 – 293

Prediction correct · off by 65 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 199.3 ±16

1772The Brazilian Trail Blazers

Provisional

Season APEX 65.7Event APEX 38.73Rank 24Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

9461SESI SENAI MecaChronos

Season APEX 64.1Event APEX 26.69Rank 15Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 95

9460SESI SENAI STEEL BULLS

Season APEX 69.5Event APEX 40.13Rank 14Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 407.2 ±12.9

7565SESI SENAI ROBONÁTICOS

Season APEX 185.3Event APEX 89.92Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8882INFINITY BR

Season APEX 63.9Event APEX 9.54Rank 25Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 89

9484Robot's District

Season APEX 158Event APEX 105.9Rank 12Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1772, 9461, 9460

/ 100 compat

Projected

105.6 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 1772, 9461, 9460

Auto

19.1 18%

Teleop

52.6 51%

Endgame

32.4 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7565, 8882, 9484

/ 100 compat

Projected

205.4 pts

~2.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 7565, 8882, 9484

Auto

38.8 19%

Teleop

131.1 66%

Endgame

29.6 15%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.02 · Blue 2.12

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score105.6pts

Blue projected score205.4pts

Red win probability22%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -99.8
Score range: 84–227
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 441 vs event baseline 120.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

199.3Season APEX407.2

19.1Auto38.8

52.6Teleop131.1

32.4Endgame29.6

36Consistency80

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	29	49
teleop	81	167
endgame	38	77
foul	0	0
total	148	293

Result

Final score

148 – 293

Prediction correct · off by 65 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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