Qualification · Qualification 65

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

36.82 – 144.21

21%79%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

51 – 182

Prediction correct · off by 26 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 125 ±19.2

11105GC 4 Tomorrow

Season APEX 52.3Event APEX 15.07Rank 43Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 89

8276OPTRON#8276

Provisional

Season APEX 27.2Event APEX -3.05Rank 44Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

10343Tera Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 45.5Event APEX 24.8Rank 37Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 303.1 ±14.9

9611SESI SENAI SC CyberRain

Season APEX 52.5Event APEX 6.16Rank 39Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94

10190UNIMATE - SESI SENAI SC

Season APEX 79.4Event APEX 29.26Rank 9Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 76

9175BrainMachine-FRC

Season APEX 171.2Event APEX 108.79Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11105, 8276, 10343

/ 100 compat

Projected

36.8 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 11105, 8276, 10343

Auto

14.3 41%

Teleop

2.3 7%

Endgame

18.3 52%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9611, 10190, 9175

/ 100 compat

Projected

144.2 pts

~2.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 9611, 10190, 9175

Auto

29.3 22%

Teleop

82.6 61%

Endgame

24.3 18%

Strengths

· 9175 anchors offense

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.81 · Blue 2.04

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score36.8pts

Blue projected score144.2pts

Red win probability21%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -107.4
Score range: 15–166
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 233 vs event baseline 120.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

125Season APEX303.1

14.3Auto29.3

2.3Teleop82.6

18.3Endgame24.3

9Consistency42

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	22
teleop	21	109
endgame	12	51
foul	0	0
total	51	182

Result

Final score

51 – 182

Prediction correct · off by 26 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree