Qualification · Qualification 60

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

265.78 – 176.26

75%25%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

165 – 125

Prediction correct · off by 76 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 380.2 ±15.1

10298LUVER CONTROL

Season APEX 63.4Event APEX 44.96Rank 16Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 77

1156Under Control

Season APEX 256Event APEX 198.66Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9459SESI SENAI RPRT HAWKS

Season APEX 60.8Event APEX 22.16Rank 21Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 92

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 316.5 ±13.9

8882INFINITY BR

Season APEX 63.9Event APEX 16.41Rank 25Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 89

1860Alphabots

Season APEX 97Event APEX 71.86Rank 18Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7567SESI SENAI OCTOPUS

Season APEX 155.6Event APEX 87.99Rank 5Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10298, 1156, 9459

/ 100 compat

Projected

265.8 pts

~2.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 10298, 1156, 9459

Auto

32.4 12%

Teleop

158.7 61%

Endgame

70.8 27%

Strengths

· 1156 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8882, 1860, 7567

/ 100 compat

Projected

176.3 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 8882, 1860, 7567

Auto

40.2 24%

Teleop

86.7 51%

Endgame

44.1 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.02 · Blue 1.04

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score265.8pts

Blue projected score176.3pts

Red win probability75%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 89.5
Score range: 154–288
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 290 vs event baseline 120.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

380.2Season APEX316.5

32.4Auto40.2

158.7Teleop86.7

70.8Endgame44.1

49Consistency24

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	79	31
teleop	13	70
endgame	73	24
foul	0	0
total	165	125

Result

Final score

165 – 125

Prediction correct · off by 76 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree