Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

151.02 – 239.69

25%75%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

175 – 191

Prediction correct · off by 36.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 227.2 ±16.5

1860Alphabots

Season APEX 97Event APEX 75.73Rank 18Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9110SESI SENAI ATOMIIC

Season APEX 103Event APEX 81.05Rank 11Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8276OPTRON#8276

Provisional

Season APEX 27.2Event APEX -5.76Rank 44Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 413.8 ±11.6

9484Robot's District

Season APEX 158Event APEX 101.43Rank 12Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9460SESI SENAI STEEL BULLS

Season APEX 69.5Event APEX 37.85Rank 14Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7563SESI SENAI MEGAZORD

Season APEX 186.3Event APEX 100.41Rank 3Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1860, 9110, 8276

/ 100 compat

Projected

151 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 1860, 9110, 8276

Auto

47.0 33%

Teleop

61.1 43%

Endgame

35.5 25%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9484, 9460, 7563

/ 100 compat

Projected

239.7 pts

~2.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 9484, 9460, 7563

Auto

48.2 20%

Teleop

136.8 58%

Endgame

50.7 22%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.99 · Blue 2.11

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score151pts

Blue projected score239.7pts

Red win probability25%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -88.7
Score range: 127–264
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 366 vs event baseline 134.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

227.2Season APEX413.8

47Auto48.2

61.1Teleop136.8

35.5Endgame50.7

30Consistency46

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	46	39
teleop	65	124
endgame	44	28
foul	20	0
total	175	191

Result

Final score

175 – 191

Prediction correct · off by 36.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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