Qualification · Qualification 58

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

159.53 – 93.08

70%30%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

256 – 23

Prediction correct · off by 83.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 377 ±14.9

9047TECHMAKER ROBOTICS

Season APEX 105.6Event APEX 74.08Rank 7Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7563SESI SENAI MEGAZORD

Season APEX 186.3Event APEX 69.24Rank 3Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9168AGROBOT

Season APEX 85.1Event APEX 16.21Rank 19Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 77

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 266.8 ±13.9

11105GC 4 Tomorrow

Season APEX 52.3Event APEX 25.81Rank 43Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 89

9200SESI SENAI STARDUST

Season APEX 157.2Event APEX 34.47Rank 10Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7033Manna Roosters 7033

Season APEX 57.3Event APEX 32.8Rank 17Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9047, 7563, 9168

/ 100 compat

Projected

159.5 pts

~2.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 9047, 7563, 9168

Auto

41.9 26%

Teleop

91.4 57%

Endgame

27.9 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11105, 9200, 7033

/ 100 compat

Projected

93.1 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 11105, 9200, 7033

Auto

23.2 24%

Teleop

42.9 45%

Endgame

30.0 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.97 · Blue 0.98

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score159.5pts

Blue projected score93.1pts

Red win probability70%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 33%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 66.5
Score range: 71–182
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 279 vs event baseline 120.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

377Season APEX266.8

41.9Auto23.2

91.4Teleop42.9

27.9Endgame30

48Consistency35

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	54	17
teleop	146	4
endgame	56	2
foul	0	0
total	256	23

Result

Final score

256 – 23

Prediction correct · off by 83.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.