Qualification · Qualification 57

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

108.57 – 215.84

21%79%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

101 – 216

Prediction correct · off by 3.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 185.9 ±17

6404Brazilian Storm

Season APEX 50.1Event APEX -4.13Rank 49Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 91

9162ALL MIGHT

Season APEX 79.7Event APEX 62.64Rank 33Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94

11201MangTech

Provisional

Season APEX 56.1Event APEX 50.06Rank 38Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 558.3 ±12.8

1884Griffins

Season APEX 284.1Event APEX 20.05Rank 41Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9110SESI SENAI ATOMIIC

Season APEX 103Event APEX 87.25Rank 11Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9175BrainMachine-FRC

Season APEX 171.2Event APEX 108.54Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6404, 9162, 11201

/ 100 compat

Projected

108.6 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 6404, 9162, 11201

Auto

30.6 31%

Teleop

41.2 41%

Endgame

28.2 28%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1884, 9110, 9175

/ 100 compat

Projected

215.8 pts

~2.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 1884, 9110, 9175

Auto

36.6 18%

Teleop

113.7 55%

Endgame

57.3 28%

Strengths

· 9175 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.71 · Blue 2.04

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score108.6pts

Blue projected score215.8pts

Red win probability21%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 26%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -107.3
Score range: 87–238
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 317 vs event baseline 120.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

185.9Season APEX558.3

30.6Auto36.6

41.2Teleop113.7

28.2Endgame57.3

97Consistency52

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	26	44
teleop	27	127
endgame	18	45
foul	30	0
total	101	216

Result

Final score

101 – 216

Prediction correct · off by 3.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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