Qualification · Qualification 56

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

34.76 – 93.78

32%68%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

33 – 127

Prediction correct · off by 17.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 139.2 ±18

8276OPTRON#8276

Provisional

Season APEX 27.2Event APEX -6.34Rank 44Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

9604TUIUTECH

Season APEX 66.7Event APEX 27.6Rank 20Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 79

7459Taubatexas Robotics

Season APEX 45.3Event APEX 13.5Rank 45Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 89

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 221.3 ±18.1

9487KRYPTON FRC

Season APEX 84.8Event APEX 63.28Rank 6Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 77

9603MTECH

Provisional

Season APEX 72.4Event APEX 13.25Rank 23Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

9461SESI SENAI MecaChronos

Season APEX 64.1Event APEX 17.25Rank 15Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 95

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8276, 9604, 7459

/ 100 compat

Projected

34.8 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 8276, 9604, 7459

Auto

6.7 18%

Teleop

4.3 12%

Endgame

26.3 71%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9487, 9603, 9461

/ 100 compat

Projected

93.8 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 9487, 9603, 9461

Auto

20.3 22%

Teleop

53.6 59%

Endgame

16.5 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.02 · Blue 1.88

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score34.8pts

Blue projected score93.8pts

Red win probability32%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 34%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -59
Score range: 13–116
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 160 vs event baseline 120.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

139.2Season APEX221.3

6.7Auto20.3

4.3Teleop53.6

26.3Endgame16.5

14Consistency40

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	8	20
teleop	20	65
endgame	5	37
foul	0	5
total	33	127

Result

Final score

33 – 127

Prediction correct · off by 17.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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