Qualification · Qualification 53

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

309.45 – 127.05

91%9%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

335 – 75

Prediction correct · off by 38.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 488.6 ±14

10466Federal Force

Season APEX 77Event APEX 21.85Rank 8Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 76

1156Under Control

Season APEX 256Event APEX 201.01Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7567SESI SENAI OCTOPUS

Season APEX 155.6Event APEX 86.59Rank 5Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 282.7 ±13.5

7033Manna Roosters 7033

Season APEX 57.3Event APEX 38.73Rank 17Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9219Nine Tails

Season APEX 39.1Event APEX 7.03Rank 36Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 92

7563SESI SENAI MEGAZORD

Season APEX 186.3Event APEX 81.29Rank 3Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10466, 1156, 7567

/ 100 compat

Projected

309.5 pts

~2.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 10466, 1156, 7567

Auto

37.8 12%

Teleop

202.1 65%

Endgame

70.4 23%

Strengths

· 1156 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7033, 9219, 7563

/ 100 compat

Projected

127.1 pts

~0.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 7033, 9219, 7563

Auto

37.0 29%

Teleop

73.1 58%

Endgame

16.6 13%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.41 · Blue 0.57

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score309.5pts

Blue projected score127.1pts

Red win probability91%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 34%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 182.4
Score range: 105–331
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 410 vs event baseline 120.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

488.6Season APEX282.7

37.8Auto37

202.1Teleop73.1

70.4Endgame16.6

48Consistency64

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	55	40
teleop	183	10
endgame	97	25
foul	0	0
total	335	75

Result

Final score

335 – 75

Prediction correct · off by 38.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.