Qualification · Qualification 50

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

69.25 – 128.72

32%68%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

127 – 177

Prediction correct · off by 53 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 222.7 ±16.3

9168AGROBOT

Season APEX 85.1Event APEX 5.61Rank 19Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 77

9458SESI SENAI JACTECH

Season APEX 86.8Event APEX 55.22Rank 30Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10345Sirius

Season APEX 50.8Event APEX 8.42Rank 31Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 89

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 231.7 ±17

8882INFINITY BR

Season APEX 63.9Event APEX 12.73Rank 25Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 89

1772The Brazilian Trail Blazers

Provisional

Season APEX 65.7Event APEX 39.55Rank 24Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

9085SESI SENAI MEGA HARPY

Season APEX 102.1Event APEX 76.44Rank 13Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9168, 9458, 10345

/ 100 compat

Projected

69.3 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 9168, 9458, 10345

Auto

21.9 30%

Teleop

30.5 42%

Endgame

20.3 28%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8882, 1772, 9085

/ 100 compat

Projected

128.7 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 8882, 1772, 9085

Auto

15.5 12%

Teleop

61.2 49%

Endgame

47.8 38%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.12 · Blue 1.91

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score69.3pts

Blue projected score128.7pts

Red win probability32%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -59.5
Score range: 47–151
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 304 vs event baseline 121.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

222.7Season APEX231.7

21.9Auto15.5

30.5Teleop61.2

20.3Endgame47.8

60Consistency38

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	35	22
teleop	52	113
endgame	40	42
foul	0	0
total	127	177

Result

Final score

127 – 177

Prediction correct · off by 53 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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