Qualification · Qualification 44

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

101.61 – 3.35

77%23%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

184 – 9

Prediction correct · off by 44 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 301.2 ±16

9200SESI SENAI STARDUST

Season APEX 157.2Event APEX 36.44Rank 10Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1860Alphabots

Season APEX 97Event APEX 64.03Rank 18Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9178Cyber One

Provisional

Season APEX 47Event APEX 1.14Rank 28Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 142.4 ±17.5

6902STRIKE

Provisional

Season APEX 27.7Event APEX -16.44Rank 48Record 1-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

8882INFINITY BR

Season APEX 63.9Event APEX 12.04Rank 25Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 89

10345Sirius

Season APEX 50.8Event APEX 7.75Rank 31Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 89

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9200, 1860, 9178

/ 100 compat

Projected

101.6 pts

~2.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 9200, 1860, 9178

Auto

30.7 32%

Teleop

43.3 45%

Endgame

23.3 24%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6902, 8882, 10345

/ 100 compat

Projected

3.3 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 6902, 8882, 10345

Auto

21.8 0%

Teleop

-13.4 100%

Endgame

-10.8 100%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.99 · Blue 0.9

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score101.6pts

Blue projected score3.3pts

Red win probability77%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 98.3
Score range: -19–124
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 193 vs event baseline 121.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

301.2Season APEX142.4

30.7Auto21.8

43.3Teleop-13.4

23.3Endgame-10.8

58Consistency104

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	36	9
teleop	82	0
endgame	51	0
foul	15	0
total	184	9

Result

Final score

184 – 9

Prediction correct · off by 44 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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