Qualification · Qualification 41

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

63.52 – 139.79

28%72%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

177 – 208

Prediction correct · off by 90.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 273.2 ±16.6

9484Robot's District

Season APEX 158Event APEX 65.11Rank 12Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9593Rhinos

Season APEX 56.8Event APEX -8.6Rank 22Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 91

10019SESI SENAI MINERSKILLS

Provisional

Season APEX 58.4Event APEX 7.01Rank 40Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 503.1 ±15.3

7567SESI SENAI OCTOPUS

Season APEX 155.6Event APEX 80.21Rank 5Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10298LUVER CONTROL

Season APEX 63.4Event APEX 34.97Rank 16Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 77

1884Griffins

Season APEX 284.1Event APEX 24.61Rank 41Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9484, 9593, 10019

/ 100 compat

Projected

63.5 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 9484, 9593, 10019

Auto

5.9 10%

Teleop

39.8 67%

Endgame

13.7 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7567, 10298, 1884

/ 100 compat

Projected

139.8 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 7567, 10298, 1884

Auto

14.6 11%

Teleop

83.0 60%

Endgame

40.5 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.1 · Blue 1.91

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score63.5pts

Blue projected score139.8pts

Red win probability28%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -76.3
Score range: 43–161
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 385 vs event baseline 117.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

273.2Season APEX503.1

5.9Auto14.6

39.8Teleop83

13.7Endgame40.5

87Consistency118

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	25	14
teleop	114	114
endgame	33	80
foul	5	0
total	177	208

Result

Final score

177 – 208

Prediction correct · off by 90.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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