Qualification · Qualification 37

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

95.36 – 39.78

67%33%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

98 – 14

Prediction correct · off by 14.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 221.5 ±17.5

7033Manna Roosters 7033

Season APEX 57.3Event APEX 20.87Rank 17Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10190UNIMATE - SESI SENAI SC

Season APEX 79.4Event APEX 20.31Rank 9Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 76

9487KRYPTON FRC

Season APEX 84.8Event APEX 54.18Rank 6Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 77

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 150.3 ±17

10345Sirius

Season APEX 50.8Event APEX 14.29Rank 31Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 89

9178Cyber One

Provisional

Season APEX 47Event APEX 16.44Rank 28Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

9611SESI SENAI SC CyberRain

Season APEX 52.5Event APEX 9.05Rank 39Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7033, 10190, 9487

/ 100 compat

Projected

95.4 pts

~1.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 7033, 10190, 9487

Auto

31.0 37%

Teleop

35.6 43%

Endgame

16.2 20%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10345, 9178, 9611

/ 100 compat

Projected

39.8 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 10345, 9178, 9611

Auto

18.3 61%

Teleop

9.5 32%

Endgame

2.2 7%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.77 · Blue 1.06

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score95.4pts

Blue projected score39.8pts

Red win probability67%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 35%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 55.6
Score range: 19–116
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 112 vs event baseline 117.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

221.5Season APEX150.3

31Auto18.3

35.6Teleop9.5

16.2Endgame2.2

40Consistency27

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	33	14
teleop	47	0
endgame	18	0
foul	0	0
total	98	14

Result

Final score

98 – 14

Prediction correct · off by 14.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.