Qualification · Qualification 31
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
91.91 – 201.89
20%80%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
142 – 165
Prediction correct · off by 43.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 276.3 ±13.9
Season APEX 79.2Event APEX 42.07Rank 42Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 158Event APEX 62.16Rank 12Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 39.1Event APEX -12.32Rank 36Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 92
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 235.9 ±18.1
Season APEX 84.8Event APEX 64.79Rank 6Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 77
10343Tera Robotics
Provisional
Season APEX 45.5Event APEX 35.23Rank 37Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
Season APEX 105.6Event APEX 101.87Rank 7Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5800, 9484, 9219
49
/ 100 compatProjected
91.9 pts
~0.8 RP (regional)
Teams: 5800, 9484, 9219
Auto
19.0 19%
Teleop
72.1 73%
Endgame
7.1 7%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 37%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9487, 10343, 9047
80
/ 100 compatProjected
201.9 pts
~2.1 RP (regional)
Teams: 9487, 10343, 9047
Auto
29.4 15%
Teleop
120.0 62%
Endgame
43.6 23%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 37%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.81 · Blue 2.11
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score91.9pts
Blue projected score201.9pts
Red win probability20%
Event bonus sample194alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 37%, blue 48%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -110
- Score range
- 71–223
- Upset likelihood
- 20%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
276.3Season APEX235.9
19Auto29.4
72.1Teleop120
7.1Endgame43.6
82Consistency45
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 32 | 22 |
| teleop | 81 | 86 |
| endgame | 29 | 57 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 142 | 165 |
Result
Final score
142 – 165
Prediction correct · off by 43.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.