Qualification · Qualification 26
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
52.16 – 163.77
20%80%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
54 – 357
Prediction correct · off by 97.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 170.5 ±18.8
Season APEX 77.1Event APEX 22.27Rank 29Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
1772The Brazilian Trail Blazers
Provisional
Season APEX 65.7Event APEX 34.38Rank 24Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
6902STRIKE
Provisional
Season APEX 27.7Event APEX -4.49Rank 48Record 1-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 381 ±13
Season APEX 79.7Event APEX 42.37Rank 33Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94
Season APEX 45.3Event APEX 0.25Rank 45Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 89
Season APEX 256Event APEX 121.15Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9169, 1772, 6902
29
/ 100 compatProjected
52.2 pts
~0.9 RP (regional)
Teams: 9169, 1772, 6902
Auto
31.8 62%
Teleop
13.0 25%
Endgame
6.2 12%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 43%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9162, 7459, 1156
79
/ 100 compatProjected
163.8 pts
~2.0 RP (regional)
Teams: 9162, 7459, 1156
Auto
21.3 13%
Teleop
97.2 61%
Endgame
40.4 25%
Strengths
- · 1156 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 43%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.87 · Blue 2.05
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score52.2pts
Blue projected score163.8pts
Red win probability20%
Event bonus sample194alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 43%, blue 41%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -111.6
- Score range
- 31–185
- Upset likelihood
- 20%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
170.5Season APEX381
31.8Auto21.3
13Teleop97.2
6.2Endgame40.4
92Consistency59
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 35 | 59 |
| teleop | 11 | 207 |
| endgame | 8 | 91 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 54 | 357 |
Result
Final score
54 – 357
Prediction correct · off by 97.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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