Qualification · Qualification 23
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
0 – 42.99
35%65%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
167 – 56
Prediction missed · off by 90 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 221.3 ±18.1
9657SESI SENAI IPÊV4
Provisional
Season APEX 84Event APEX 4.75Rank 34Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
Season APEX 52.5Event APEX -31.65Rank 39Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94
Season APEX 84.8Event APEX 21.59Rank 6Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 77
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 188.3 ±17
9218Alpha #9218
Provisional
Season APEX 74.1Event APEX 11.5Rank 26Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
Season APEX 50.1Event APEX -3.99Rank 49Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 91
Season APEX 64.1Event APEX 35.48Rank 15Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 95
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9657, 9611, 9487
8
/ 100 compatProjected
-5.3 pts
~1.1 RP (regional)
Teams: 9657, 9611, 9487
Auto
13.6 100%
Teleop
3.8 100%
Endgame
-15.7 0%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 39%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9218, 6404, 9461
36
/ 100 compatProjected
43 pts
~1.6 RP (regional)
Teams: 9218, 6404, 9461
Auto
9.6 23%
Teleop
29.7 72%
Endgame
2.2 5%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 39%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.13 · Blue 1.6
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score-5.3pts
Blue projected score43pts
Red win probability35%
Event bonus sample194alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 39%, blue 27%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -43
- Score range
- -21–64
- Upset likelihood
- 35%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
221.3Season APEX188.3
13.6Auto9.6
3.8Teleop29.7
-15.7Endgame2.2
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 40 | 16 |
| teleop | 76 | 31 |
| endgame | 36 | 4 |
| foul | 15 | 5 |
| total | 167 | 56 |
Result
Final score
167 – 56
Prediction missed · off by 90 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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