Qualification · Qualification 18

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

197.64 – 84.97

80%20%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

185 – 131

Prediction correct · off by 29.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 345.7 ±14.9

10298LUVER CONTROL

Season APEX 63.4Event APEX 41.81Rank 16Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 77

1860Alphabots

Season APEX 97Event APEX 58.03Rank 18Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7565SESI SENAI ROBONÁTICOS

Season APEX 185.3Event APEX 97.8Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 212.1 ±17.5

9162ALL MIGHT

Season APEX 79.7Event APEX 29.58Rank 33Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94

9604TUIUTECH

Season APEX 66.7Event APEX 25.95Rank 20Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 79

1772The Brazilian Trail Blazers

Provisional

Season APEX 65.7Event APEX 29.44Rank 24Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10298, 1860, 7565

/ 100 compat

Projected

197.6 pts

~2.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 10298, 1860, 7565

Auto

31.6 16%

Teleop

106.2 55%

Endgame

56.2 29%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9162, 9604, 1772

/ 100 compat

Projected

85 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 9162, 9604, 1772

Auto

15.6 18%

Teleop

44.4 51%

Endgame

26.9 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.18 · Blue 0.92

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score197.6pts

Blue projected score85pts

Red win probability80%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 112.7
Score range: 65–218
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 316 vs event baseline 112.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

345.7Season APEX212.1

31.6Auto15.6

106.2Teleop44.4

56.2Endgame26.9

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	55	27
teleop	110	51
endgame	20	48
foul	0	5
total	185	131

Result

Final score

185 – 131

Prediction correct · off by 29.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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