Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

94.76 – 54.77

62%38%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

166 – 136

Prediction correct · off by 76.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 288.4 ±14.1

10345Sirius

Season APEX 50.8Event APEX 21.14Rank 31Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 89

7565SESI SENAI ROBONÁTICOS

Season APEX 185.3Event APEX 83.03Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11105GC 4 Tomorrow

Season APEX 52.3Event APEX -9.41Rank 43Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 89

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 266.7 ±15.8

10298LUVER CONTROL

Season APEX 63.4Event APEX 23.14Rank 16Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 77

7459Taubatexas Robotics

Season APEX 45.3Event APEX 0.47Rank 45Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 89

9484Robot's District

Season APEX 158Event APEX 31.16Rank 12Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10345, 7565, 11105

/ 100 compat

Projected

94.8 pts

~1.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 10345, 7565, 11105

Auto

12.6 13%

Teleop

59.0 62%

Endgame

23.5 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10298, 7459, 9484

/ 100 compat

Projected

54.8 pts

~1.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 10298, 7459, 9484

Auto

12.5 22%

Teleop

30.2 53%

Endgame

13.9 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.76 · Blue 1.24

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score94.8pts

Blue projected score54.8pts

Red win probability62%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 40
Score range: 34–116
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 302 vs event baseline 114.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

288.4Season APEX266.7

12.6Auto12.5

59Teleop30.2

23.5Endgame13.9

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	45	16
teleop	90	78
endgame	31	37
foul	0	5
total	166	136

Result

Final score

166 – 136

Prediction correct · off by 76.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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