Regional Brazil - Festival SESI de Educação

Qualification · Qualification 72

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

119.6 – 261.78

15%85%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

145 – 245

Prediction correct · off by 21.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 260.3 ±18.7

9302PARATECH FRC

Provisional

Season APEX 34.5Event APEX 3.19Rank 43Record 2-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

9164Tech Vikings

Provisional

Season APEX 54.6Event APEX 34.12Rank 24Record 4-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

9175BrainMachine-FRC

Season APEX 171.2Event APEX 82.29Rank 7Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 372.1 ±15.3

9611SESI SENAI SC CyberRain

Season APEX 52.5Event APEX 14.8Rank 26Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 94

1156Under Control

Season APEX 256Event APEX 226.92Rank 1Record 9-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9049SESI SENAI STEAMPUNK MONKEY FRC

Provisional

Season APEX 63.6Event APEX 20.06Rank 10Record 6-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9302, 9164, 9175

/ 100 compat

Projected

119.6 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 9302, 9164, 9175

Auto

22.7 19%

Teleop

67.5 56%

Endgame

30.2 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9611, 1156, 9049

/ 100 compat

Projected

261.8 pts

~2.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 9611, 1156, 9049

Auto

53.2 21%

Teleop

149.4 59%

Endgame

51.7 20%

Strengths

· 1156 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.67 · Blue 2.15

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score119.6pts

Blue projected score261.8pts

Red win probability15%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 34%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -142.2
Score range: 102–280
Upset likelihood: 15%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 390 vs event baseline 100.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

260.3Season APEX372.1

22.7Auto53.2

67.5Teleop149.4

30.2Endgame51.7

46Consistency35

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	49
teleop	79	140
endgame	47	56
foul	5	0
total	145	245

Result

Final score

145 – 245

Prediction correct · off by 21.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.