Regional Brazil - Festival SESI de Educação

Qualification · Qualification 71

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

143 – 115.35

59%41%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

148 – 141

Prediction correct · off by 15.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 309.5 ±16

9050Tucanus

Provisional

Season APEX 83.9Event APEX 31.52Rank 8Record 6-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

9484Robot's District

Season APEX 158Event APEX 56.17Rank 14Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9199SESI SENAI SHARKS

Season APEX 67.6Event APEX 55.31Rank 15Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 249.6 ±13.3

9169AGROTECH

Season APEX 77.1Event APEX 48.54Rank 20Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9110SESI SENAI ATOMIIC

Season APEX 103Event APEX 61.36Rank 23Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9460SESI SENAI STEEL BULLS

Season APEX 69.5Event APEX 5.45Rank 32Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9050, 9484, 9199

/ 100 compat

Projected

143 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 9050, 9484, 9199

Auto

32.0 22%

Teleop

79.7 54%

Endgame

35.1 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9169, 9110, 9460

/ 100 compat

Projected

115.4 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 9169, 9110, 9460

Auto

27.9 25%

Teleop

54.5 48%

Endgame

30.6 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.55 · Blue 1.1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score143pts

Blue projected score115.4pts

Red win probability59%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 34%, blue 19%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 6%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 27.7
Score range: 97–161
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

High scoring

Combined score 289 vs event baseline 100.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

309.5Season APEX249.6

32Auto27.9

79.7Teleop54.5

35.1Endgame30.6

58Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	32	47
teleop	77	47
endgame	39	47
foul	0	0
total	148	141

Result

Final score

148 – 141

Prediction correct · off by 15.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.