Regional Brazil - Festival SESI de Educação

Qualification · Qualification 69

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

29.61 – 86.68

33%67%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

31 – 136

Prediction correct · off by 25.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 126.5 ±22.5

9195ProdiXy

Provisional

Season APEX 51.2Event APEX 9.56Rank 19Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

10297PANTANALBOTS

Provisional

Season APEX 33.3Event APEX 13.08Rank 46Record 2-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

9617Metal Knight

Provisional

Season APEX 42Event APEX 6.97Rank 29Record 4-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 274.9 ±16.9

10356Capitech

Provisional

Season APEX 28.8Event APEX -1.1Rank 35Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

7565SESI SENAI ROBONÁTICOS

Season APEX 185.3Event APEX 77.6Rank 3Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9459SESI SENAI RPRT HAWKS

Season APEX 60.8Event APEX 10.18Rank 18Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 92

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9195, 10297, 9617

/ 100 compat

Projected

29.6 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 9195, 10297, 9617

Auto

9.5 38%

Teleop

10.2 40%

Endgame

5.5 22%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10356, 7565, 9459

/ 100 compat

Projected

86.7 pts

~1.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 10356, 7565, 9459

Auto

13.8 17%

Teleop

40.1 48%

Endgame

29.0 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.94 · Blue 1.73

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score29.6pts

Blue projected score86.7pts

Red win probability33%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 24%, blue 35%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -57.1
Score range: 12–105
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 167 vs event baseline 100.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

126.5Season APEX274.9

9.5Auto13.8

10.2Teleop40.1

5.5Endgame29

1Consistency4

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	10	47
teleop	11	66
endgame	10	23
foul	0	0
total	31	136

Result

Final score

31 – 136

Prediction correct · off by 25.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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