Regional Brazil - Festival SESI de Educação

Qualification · Qualification 66

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

115.33 – 202.74

25%75%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

110 – 159

Prediction correct · off by 24.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 208.9 ±18.8

9045North Lions SESI/SENAI

Season APEX 60.2Event APEX 22.96Rank 42Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 76

9458SESI SENAI JACTECH

Season APEX 86.8Event APEX 53.1Rank 12Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10917M.A.P.L.E.

Provisional

Season APEX 61.9Event APEX 39.27Rank 17Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 352.3 ±13.5

8882INFINITY BR

Season APEX 63.9Event APEX 6.1Rank 33Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 89

7563SESI SENAI MEGAZORD

Season APEX 186.3Event APEX 116.02Rank 2Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9085SESI SENAI MEGA HARPY

Season APEX 102.1Event APEX 80.62Rank 4Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9045, 9458, 10917

/ 100 compat

Projected

115.3 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 9045, 9458, 10917

Auto

26.2 25%

Teleop

51.0 48%

Endgame

28.8 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8882, 7563, 9085

/ 100 compat

Projected

202.7 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 8882, 7563, 9085

Auto

21.3 11%

Teleop

118.4 59%

Endgame

61.9 31%

Strengths

· 7563 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.87 · Blue 1.92

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score115.3pts

Blue projected score202.7pts

Red win probability25%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 32%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -87.4
Score range: 97–221
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 269 vs event baseline 101.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

208.9Season APEX352.3

26.2Auto21.3

51Teleop118.4

28.8Endgame61.9

51Consistency64

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	25
teleop	43	114
endgame	46	20
foul	0	0
total	110	159

Result

Final score

110 – 159

Prediction correct · off by 24.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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