Regional Brazil - Festival SESI de Educação

Qualification · Qualification 65

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

44.26 – 92.73

35%65%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

37 – 153

Prediction correct · off by 33.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 135.2 ±15.6

9219Nine Tails

Season APEX 39.1Event APEX 17.32Rank 45Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 92

7459Taubatexas Robotics

Season APEX 45.3Event APEX 14.83Rank 30Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 89

10345Sirius

Season APEX 50.8Event APEX 12.11Rank 27Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 89

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 207.2 ±17.2

9461SESI SENAI MecaChronos

Season APEX 64.1Event APEX 10.55Rank 21Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 95

8066WOLF ARMY ROBOTICS

Provisional

Season APEX 37.5Event APEX 8.67Rank 31Record 4-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

9047TECHMAKER ROBOTICS

Season APEX 105.6Event APEX 73.51Rank 6Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9219, 7459, 10345

/ 100 compat

Projected

44.3 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 9219, 7459, 10345

Auto

13.8 39%

Teleop

13.1 37%

Endgame

8.4 24%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9461, 8066, 9047

/ 100 compat

Projected

92.7 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 9461, 8066, 9047

Auto

22.7 26%

Teleop

38.3 45%

Endgame

24.7 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.02 · Blue 1.64

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score44.3pts

Blue projected score92.7pts

Red win probability35%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 27%, blue 30%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -48.5
Score range: 26–111
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 190 vs event baseline 101.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

135.2Season APEX207.2

13.8Auto22.7

13.1Teleop38.3

8.4Endgame24.7

62Consistency18

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	10	28
teleop	17	101
endgame	5	24
foul	5	0
total	37	153

Result

Final score

37 – 153

Prediction correct · off by 33.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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