Regional Brazil - Festival SESI de Educação

Qualification · Qualification 64

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

148.02 – 52.42

77%23%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

79 – 52

Prediction correct · off by 34.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 398.7 ±14.5

9199SESI SENAI SHARKS

Season APEX 67.6Event APEX 64.48Rank 15Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9459SESI SENAI RPRT HAWKS

Season APEX 60.8Event APEX 15.98Rank 18Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 92

10291MUTUM-X

Season APEX 270.3Event APEX 67.56Rank 16Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 95

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 149.1 ±19.4

9164Tech Vikings

Provisional

Season APEX 54.6Event APEX 31.82Rank 24Record 4-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

9617Metal Knight

Provisional

Season APEX 42Event APEX 7.4Rank 29Record 4-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

9611SESI SENAI SC CyberRain

Season APEX 52.5Event APEX 13.2Rank 26Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 94

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9199, 9459, 10291

/ 100 compat

Projected

148 pts

~1.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 9199, 9459, 10291

Auto

31.0 23%

Teleop

66.1 48%

Endgame

40.0 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9164, 9617, 9611

/ 100 compat

Projected

52.4 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 9164, 9617, 9611

Auto

13.3 28%

Teleop

18.3 39%

Endgame

15.9 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.82 · Blue 0.79

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score148pts

Blue projected score52.4pts

Red win probability77%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 24%, blue 28%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 95.6
Score range: 34–166
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 131 vs event baseline 102.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

398.7Season APEX149.1

31Auto13.3

66.1Teleop18.3

40Endgame15.9

58Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	39	15
teleop	16	27
endgame	24	10
foul	0	0
total	79	52

Result

Final score

79 – 52

Prediction correct · off by 34.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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