Regional Brazil - Festival SESI de Educação

Qualification · Qualification 63

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

118.84 – 137.07

44%56%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

138 – 126

Prediction missed · off by 15.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 334.5 ±12.2

7565SESI SENAI ROBONÁTICOS

Season APEX 185.3Event APEX 73.99Rank 3Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9460SESI SENAI STEEL BULLS

Season APEX 69.5Event APEX 5.45Rank 32Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9162ALL MIGHT

Season APEX 79.7Event APEX 39.4Rank 11Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 94

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 322.2 ±16

7567SESI SENAI OCTOPUS

Season APEX 155.6Event APEX 55.66Rank 13Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9049SESI SENAI STEAMPUNK MONKEY FRC

Provisional

Season APEX 63.6Event APEX 18.91Rank 10Record 6-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

9110SESI SENAI ATOMIIC

Season APEX 103Event APEX 62.5Rank 23Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7565, 9460, 9162

/ 100 compat

Projected

118.8 pts

~1.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 7565, 9460, 9162

Auto

21.6 18%

Teleop

77.6 64%

Endgame

22.8 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 7567, 9049, 9110

/ 100 compat

Projected

137.1 pts

~1.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 7567, 9049, 9110

Auto

25.1 19%

Teleop

73.8 55%

Endgame

34.7 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.24 · Blue 1.49

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score118.8pts

Blue projected score137.1pts

Red win probability44%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 31%, blue 33%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -18.2
Score range: 101–155
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 264 vs event baseline 101.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

334.5Season APEX322.2

21.6Auto25.1

77.6Teleop73.8

22.8Endgame34.7

30Consistency56

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	31
teleop	75	59
endgame	44	31
foul	0	5
total	138	126

Result

Final score

138 – 126

Prediction missed · off by 15.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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