Regional Brazil - Festival SESI de Educação

Qualification · Qualification 62

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

76.45 – 13.79

69%31%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

162 – 104

Prediction correct · off by 87.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 424.1 ±16.8

9163HYDRA

Provisional

Season APEX 32.4Event APEX 0.26Rank 40Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

9484Robot's District

Season APEX 158Event APEX 49.1Rank 14Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9066Cavalo Vendado

Season APEX 233.7Event APEX 27.09Rank 25Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 141.2 ±18.8

7033Manna Roosters 7033

Season APEX 57.3Event APEX 8.14Rank 38Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9048SESI/SENAI P0T1BAT (Potibat)

Provisional

Season APEX 42.3Event APEX -0.22Rank 36Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

9166TecRobot

Season APEX 41.6Event APEX 5.87Rank 22Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 77

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9163, 9484, 9066

/ 100 compat

Projected

76.5 pts

~1.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 9163, 9484, 9066

Auto

24.7 33%

Teleop

38.7 51%

Endgame

12.4 16%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7033, 9048, 9166

/ 100 compat

Projected

13.8 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 7033, 9048, 9166

Auto

8.6 100%

Teleop

-4.2 0%

Endgame

3.9 47%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.7 · Blue 0.9

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score76.5pts

Blue projected score13.8pts

Red win probability69%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 29%, blue 23%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 62.7
Score range: -4–94
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 266 vs event baseline 101.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

424.1Season APEX141.2

24.7Auto8.6

38.7Teleop-4.2

12.4Endgame3.9

30Consistency112

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	30	27
teleop	103	51
endgame	29	26
foul	0	0
total	162	104

Result

Final score

162 – 104

Prediction correct · off by 87.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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