Regional Brazil - Festival SESI de Educação

Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

148.8 – 70.56

73%27%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

119 – 68

Prediction correct · off by 16.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 300.6 ±16.4

1860Alphabots

Season APEX 97Event APEX 56.06Rank 5Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9163HYDRA

Provisional

Season APEX 32.4Event APEX 9.07Rank 40Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

9175BrainMachine-FRC

Season APEX 171.2Event APEX 83.67Rank 7Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 165.3 ±20

9195ProdiXy

Provisional

Season APEX 51.2Event APEX 11.73Rank 19Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

9614ROBOSSAUROS

Provisional

Season APEX 27.3Event APEX 9.55Rank 34Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

9458SESI SENAI JACTECH

Season APEX 86.8Event APEX 49.28Rank 12Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1860, 9163, 9175

/ 100 compat

Projected

148.8 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 1860, 9163, 9175

Auto

32.7 22%

Teleop

75.9 52%

Endgame

37.9 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9195, 9614, 9458

/ 100 compat

Projected

70.6 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 9195, 9614, 9458

Auto

23.9 37%

Teleop

29.0 45%

Endgame

11.0 17%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.87 · Blue 0.87

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score148.8pts

Blue projected score70.6pts

Red win probability73%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 28%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 78.2
Score range: 50–170
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 187 vs event baseline 114.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

300.6Season APEX165.3

32.7Auto23.9

75.9Teleop29

37.9Endgame11

33Consistency10

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	43	19
teleop	47	33
endgame	29	16
foul	0	0
total	119	68

Result

Final score

119 – 68

Prediction correct · off by 16.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree