Regional Brazil - Festival SESI de Educação

Qualification · Qualification 59

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

133.69 – 146.07

46%54%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

102 – 146

Prediction correct · off by 15.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 227.3 ±19.4

9046SESI SENAI BBTECH

Provisional

Season APEX 41.3Event APEX 11.5Rank 44Record 2-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

9050Tucanus

Provisional

Season APEX 83.9Event APEX 37.85Rank 8Record 6-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

9085SESI SENAI MEGA HARPY

Season APEX 102.1Event APEX 84.34Rank 4Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 367.5 ±12.9

9175BrainMachine-FRC

Season APEX 171.2Event APEX 81.27Rank 7Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9200SESI SENAI STARDUST

Season APEX 157.2Event APEX 44.9Rank 9Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9219Nine Tails

Season APEX 39.1Event APEX 19.9Rank 45Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 92

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9046, 9050, 9085

/ 100 compat

Projected

133.7 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 9046, 9050, 9085

Auto

19.0 14%

Teleop

70.2 50%

Endgame

51.0 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9175, 9200, 9219

/ 100 compat

Projected

146.1 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 9175, 9200, 9219

Auto

28.6 20%

Teleop

85.3 59%

Endgame

31.6 22%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.42 · Blue 1.42

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score133.7pts

Blue projected score146.1pts

Red win probability46%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 30%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -12.4
Score range: 116–164
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 248 vs event baseline 102.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

227.3Season APEX367.5

19Auto28.6

70.2Teleop85.3

51Endgame31.6

46Consistency56

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	23
teleop	43	77
endgame	41	31
foul	0	15
total	102	146

Result

Final score

102 – 146

Prediction correct · off by 15.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.