Regional Brazil - Festival SESI de Educação

Qualification · Qualification 58

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

96.74 – 288.3

8%92%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

76 – 271

Prediction correct · off by 19 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 186.7 ±17.7

10297PANTANALBOTS

Provisional

Season APEX 33.3Event APEX 13.83Rank 46Record 2-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

9485HYOBOTS

Season APEX 47.8Event APEX 2.85Rank 48Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 89

9047TECHMAKER ROBOTICS

Season APEX 105.6Event APEX 80.06Rank 6Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 393.6 ±13

9458SESI SENAI JACTECH

Season APEX 86.8Event APEX 53.98Rank 12Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1156Under Control

Season APEX 256Event APEX 225.21Rank 1Record 9-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10345Sirius

Season APEX 50.8Event APEX 9.11Rank 27Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 89

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10297, 9485, 9047

/ 100 compat

Projected

96.7 pts

~0.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 10297, 9485, 9047

Auto

19.2 21%

Teleop

45.5 50%

Endgame

27.0 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9458, 1156, 10345

/ 100 compat

Projected

288.3 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 9458, 1156, 10345

Auto

52.4 19%

Teleop

166.9 59%

Endgame

63.3 22%

Strengths

· 1156 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.45 · Blue 2.29

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score96.7pts

Blue projected score288.3pts

Red win probability8%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 24%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -191.6
Score range: 79–306
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 347 vs event baseline 102.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

186.7Season APEX393.6

19.2Auto52.4

45.5Teleop166.9

27Endgame63.3

30Consistency13

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	59
teleop	22	125
endgame	21	87
foul	10	0
total	76	271

Result

Final score

76 – 271

Prediction correct · off by 19 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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