Regional Brazil - Festival SESI de Educação

Qualification · Qualification 57

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

101.61 – 63.02

62%38%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

120 – 119

Prediction correct · off by 37.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 204.2 ±17.7

1860Alphabots

Season APEX 97Event APEX 51.13Rank 5Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10917M.A.P.L.E.

Provisional

Season APEX 61.9Event APEX 36.79Rank 17Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

7459Taubatexas Robotics

Season APEX 45.3Event APEX 13.69Rank 30Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 89

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 201.4 ±15.8

9461SESI SENAI MecaChronos

Season APEX 64.1Event APEX 3.68Rank 21Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 95

9169AGROTECH

Season APEX 77.1Event APEX 43.43Rank 20Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9045North Lions SESI/SENAI

Season APEX 60.2Event APEX 15.91Rank 42Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 76

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1860, 10917, 7459

/ 100 compat

Projected

101.6 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 1860, 10917, 7459

Auto

29.5 29%

Teleop

47.2 47%

Endgame

24.1 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9461, 9169, 9045

/ 100 compat

Projected

63 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 9461, 9169, 9045

Auto

14.7 28%

Teleop

28.1 53%

Endgame

10.5 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.63 · Blue 1.02

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score101.6pts

Blue projected score63pts

Red win probability62%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 35%, blue 21%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 38.6
Score range: 45–120
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 239 vs event baseline 101.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

204.2Season APEX201.4

29.5Auto14.7

47.2Teleop28.1

24.1Endgame10.5

94Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	33	35
teleop	49	37
endgame	38	47
foul	0	0
total	120	119

Result

Final score

120 – 119

Prediction correct · off by 37.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.