Regional Brazil - Festival SESI de Educação

Qualification · Qualification 56

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

78.91 – 100.1

43%57%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

149 – 105

Prediction missed · off by 37.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 276.9 ±15.3

9162ALL MIGHT

Season APEX 79.7Event APEX 34.5Rank 11Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 94

7567SESI SENAI OCTOPUS

Season APEX 155.6Event APEX 46.32Rank 13Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9166TecRobot

Season APEX 41.6Event APEX -1.91Rank 22Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 77

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 186.1 ±17

9199SESI SENAI SHARKS

Season APEX 67.6Event APEX 65.86Rank 15Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8882INFINITY BR

Season APEX 63.9Event APEX 0.54Rank 33Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 89

9164Tech Vikings

Provisional

Season APEX 54.6Event APEX 33.7Rank 24Record 4-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9162, 7567, 9166

/ 100 compat

Projected

78.9 pts

~1.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 9162, 7567, 9166

Auto

12.8 16%

Teleop

38.7 48%

Endgame

29.1 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9199, 8882, 9164

/ 100 compat

Projected

100.1 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 9199, 8882, 9164

Auto

11.4 12%

Teleop

57.0 59%

Endgame

27.9 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.2 · Blue 1.39

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score78.9pts

Blue projected score100.1pts

Red win probability43%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 29%, blue 21%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -21.2
Score range: 61–118
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 254 vs event baseline 101.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

276.9Season APEX186.1

12.8Auto11.4

38.7Teleop57

29.1Endgame27.9

133Consistency91

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	29	11
teleop	89	53
endgame	31	41
foul	0	0
total	149	105

Result

Final score

149 – 105

Prediction missed · off by 37.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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