Regional Brazil - Festival SESI de Educação

Qualification · Qualification 55

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

174.84 – 0

90%10%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

238 – 30

Prediction correct · off by 46.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 350.1 ±13.5

7563SESI SENAI MEGAZORD

Season APEX 186.3Event APEX 104.18Rank 2Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9110SESI SENAI ATOMIIC

Season APEX 103Event APEX 54.48Rank 23Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9459SESI SENAI RPRT HAWKS

Season APEX 60.8Event APEX 16.18Rank 18Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 92

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 105.8 ±22.5

8066WOLF ARMY ROBOTICS

Provisional

Season APEX 37.5Event APEX 1.37Rank 31Record 4-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

9305MonT

Provisional

Season APEX 35.9Event APEX -4.06Rank 47Record 2-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

9163HYDRA

Provisional

Season APEX 32.4Event APEX -2.01Rank 40Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7563, 9110, 9459

/ 100 compat

Projected

174.8 pts

~2.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 7563, 9110, 9459

Auto

37.1 22%

Teleop

81.0 48%

Endgame

51.5 30%

Strengths

· 7563 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 8066, 9305, 9163

/ 100 compat

Projected

-4.7 pts

~0.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 8066, 9305, 9163

Auto

11.3 0%

Teleop

-11.1 100%

Endgame

-3.3 100%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.19 · Blue 0.45

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score174.8pts

Blue projected score-4.7pts

Red win probability90%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 34%, blue 22%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 174.8
Score range: -18–193
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 268 vs event baseline 100.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

350.1Season APEX105.8

37.1Auto11.3

81Teleop-11.1

51.5Endgame-3.3

73Consistency76

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	32	7
teleop	125	0
endgame	71	3
foul	10	20
total	238	30

Result

Final score

238 – 30

Prediction correct · off by 46.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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