Skip to content
Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 51

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

36.95167.48

16%84%
Actual result
Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

43120

Prediction correct · off by 26.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 139.2 ±22
Season APEX 33.3Event APEX 15.45Rank 46Record 2-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 71
Season APEX 42.3Event APEX 6.45Rank 36Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71
Season APEX 63.6Event APEX 15.05Rank 10Record 6-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 74
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 241.1 ±17.2
Season APEX 102.1Event APEX 90.16Rank 4Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 97Event APEX 60.16Rank 5Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97
9617Metal Knight
Provisional
Season APEX 42Event APEX 17.16Rank 29Record 4-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10297, 9048, 9049
30
/ 100 compat
Projected
37 pts
~0.6 RP (regional)
Teams: 10297, 9048, 9049
Auto
4.9 14%
Teleop
13.8 38%
Endgame
17.4 48%
Strengths
  • · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
  • · Thin autonomous coverage
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 27%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9085, 1860, 9617
82
/ 100 compat
Projected
167.5 pts
~2.1 RP (regional)
Teams: 9085, 1860, 9617
Auto
31.4 19%
Teleop
92.7 56%
Endgame
42.0 25%
Strengths
  • · 9085 anchors offense
  • · Well-balanced across phases
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 27%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.64 · Blue 2.14
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score37pts
Blue projected score167.5pts
Red win probability16%
Event bonus sample174alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 27%, blue 43%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
-130.5
Score range
19185
Upset likelihood
16%
Data cutoff
2026-08-16
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 163 vs event baseline 98.9.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

139.2Season APEX241.1
4.9Auto31.4
13.8Teleop92.7
17.4Endgame42
46Consistency29

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto1518
teleop1773
endgame1129
foul00
total43120

Result

Final score

43120

Prediction correct · off by 26.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.