Qualification · Qualification 51
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
36.95 – 167.48
16%84%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
43 – 120
Prediction correct · off by 26.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 139.2 ±22
10297PANTANALBOTS
Provisional
Season APEX 33.3Event APEX 15.45Rank 46Record 2-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 71
9048SESI/SENAI P0T1BAT (Potibat)
Provisional
Season APEX 42.3Event APEX 6.45Rank 36Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71
9049SESI SENAI STEAMPUNK MONKEY FRC
Provisional
Season APEX 63.6Event APEX 15.05Rank 10Record 6-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 74
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 241.1 ±17.2
Season APEX 102.1Event APEX 90.16Rank 4Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 97Event APEX 60.16Rank 5Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97
9617Metal Knight
Provisional
Season APEX 42Event APEX 17.16Rank 29Record 4-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 10297, 9048, 9049
30
/ 100 compatProjected
37 pts
~0.6 RP (regional)
Teams: 10297, 9048, 9049
Auto
4.9 14%
Teleop
13.8 38%
Endgame
17.4 48%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 27%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9085, 1860, 9617
82
/ 100 compatProjected
167.5 pts
~2.1 RP (regional)
Teams: 9085, 1860, 9617
Auto
31.4 19%
Teleop
92.7 56%
Endgame
42.0 25%
Strengths
- · 9085 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 27%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.64 · Blue 2.14
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score37pts
Blue projected score167.5pts
Red win probability16%
Event bonus sample174alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 27%, blue 43%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -130.5
- Score range
- 19–185
- Upset likelihood
- 16%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
139.2Season APEX241.1
4.9Auto31.4
13.8Teleop92.7
17.4Endgame42
46Consistency29
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 15 | 18 |
| teleop | 17 | 73 |
| endgame | 11 | 29 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 43 | 120 |
Result
Final score
43 – 120
Prediction correct · off by 26.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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