Regional Brazil - Festival SESI de Educação

Qualification · Qualification 5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

64.99 – 61.17

51%49%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

69 – 70

Prediction missed · off by 6.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 214.7 ±15

9485HYOBOTS

Season APEX 47.8Event APEX 0.29Rank 48Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 89

9110SESI SENAI ATOMIIC

Season APEX 103Event APEX 63.6Rank 23Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8882INFINITY BR

Season APEX 63.9Event APEX 1.1Rank 33Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 89

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 264.1 ±16.6

9164Tech Vikings

Provisional

Season APEX 54.6Event APEX 31.97Rank 24Record 4-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

11105GC 4 Tomorrow

Season APEX 52.3Event APEX -6.02Rank 41Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 89

9200SESI SENAI STARDUST

Season APEX 157.2Event APEX 35.22Rank 9Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9485, 9110, 8882

/ 100 compat

Projected

65 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 9485, 9110, 8882

Auto

8.5 14%

Teleop

34.5 57%

Endgame

17.8 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 9164, 11105, 9200

/ 100 compat

Projected

61.2 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 9164, 11105, 9200

Auto

15.9 28%

Teleop

32.8 58%

Endgame

7.5 13%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.27 · Blue 1.25

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score65pts

Blue projected score61.2pts

Red win probability51%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 20%, blue 23%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 3.8
Score range: 40–86
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 139 vs event baseline 114.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

214.7Season APEX264.1

8.5Auto15.9

34.5Teleop32.8

17.8Endgame7.5

79Consistency45

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	4	15
teleop	30	47
endgame	30	8
foul	5	0
total	69	70

Result

Final score

69 – 70

Prediction missed · off by 6.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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