Regional Brazil - Festival SESI de Educação

Qualification · Qualification 48

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

89.1 – 52

61%39%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

124 – 46

Prediction correct · off by 20.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 237.6 ±14.5

9047TECHMAKER ROBOTICS

Season APEX 105.6Event APEX 72.34Rank 6Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11105GC 4 Tomorrow

Season APEX 52.3Event APEX -16.48Rank 41Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 89

9162ALL MIGHT

Season APEX 79.7Event APEX 33.24Rank 11Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 94

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 147.1 ±22

9614ROBOSSAUROS

Provisional

Season APEX 27.3Event APEX 10.4Rank 34Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

9305MonT

Provisional

Season APEX 35.9Event APEX 0.7Rank 47Record 2-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

9050Tucanus

Provisional

Season APEX 83.9Event APEX 40.9Rank 8Record 6-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9047, 11105, 9162

/ 100 compat

Projected

89.1 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 9047, 11105, 9162

Auto

19.9 26%

Teleop

41.6 54%

Endgame

16.1 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9614, 9305, 9050

/ 100 compat

Projected

52 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 9614, 9305, 9050

Auto

15.9 29%

Teleop

28.2 51%

Endgame

11.6 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.55 · Blue 1.06

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score89.1pts

Blue projected score52pts

Red win probability61%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 29%, blue 24%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 37.1
Score range: 34–107
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 170 vs event baseline 99.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

237.6Season APEX147.1

19.9Auto15.9

41.6Teleop28.2

16.1Endgame11.6

110Consistency17

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	28	16
teleop	74	21
endgame	22	9
foul	0	0
total	124	46

Result

Final score

124 – 46

Prediction correct · off by 20.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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