Regional Brazil - Festival SESI de Educação

Qualification · Qualification 47

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

25.19 – 133.44

21%79%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

94 – 130

Prediction correct · off by 36.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 152.3 ±20.8

9164Tech Vikings

Provisional

Season APEX 54.6Event APEX 26.1Rank 24Record 4-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

9045North Lions SESI/SENAI

Season APEX 60.2Event APEX 6.23Rank 42Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 76

8066WOLF ARMY ROBOTICS

Provisional

Season APEX 37.5Event APEX -7.14Rank 31Record 4-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 394.5 ±15.9

9195ProdiXy

Provisional

Season APEX 51.2Event APEX 7.92Rank 19Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

9484Robot's District

Season APEX 158Event APEX 48.95Rank 14Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7565SESI SENAI ROBONÁTICOS

Season APEX 185.3Event APEX 76.57Rank 3Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9164, 9045, 8066

/ 100 compat

Projected

25.2 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 9164, 9045, 8066

Auto

2.0 7%

Teleop

14.0 50%

Endgame

11.9 43%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9195, 9484, 7565

/ 100 compat

Projected

133.4 pts

~2.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 9195, 9484, 7565

Auto

31.4 24%

Teleop

70.4 53%

Endgame

31.0 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.72 · Blue 2.02

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score25.2pts

Blue projected score133.4pts

Red win probability21%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 27%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -108.2
Score range: 7–151
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 224 vs event baseline 99.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

152.3Season APEX394.5

2Auto31.4

14Teleop70.4

11.9Endgame31

66Consistency54

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	40
teleop	34	82
endgame	26	8
foul	20	0
total	94	130

Result

Final score

94 – 130

Prediction correct · off by 36.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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