Regional Brazil - Festival SESI de Educação

Qualification · Qualification 43

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

120.28 – 56.99

69%31%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

116 – 79

Prediction correct · off by 13.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 263.1 ±19.3

9048SESI/SENAI P0T1BAT (Potibat)

Provisional

Season APEX 42.3Event APEX 4.02Rank 36Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

7563SESI SENAI MEGAZORD

Season APEX 186.3Event APEX 111.13Rank 2Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9302PARATECH FRC

Provisional

Season APEX 34.5Event APEX 5.13Rank 43Record 2-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 248.7 ±14.5

7459Taubatexas Robotics

Season APEX 45.3Event APEX 13.68Rank 30Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 89

9485HYOBOTS

Season APEX 47.8Event APEX -1.38Rank 48Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 89

7567SESI SENAI OCTOPUS

Season APEX 155.6Event APEX 44.69Rank 13Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9048, 7563, 9302

/ 100 compat

Projected

120.3 pts

~1.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 9048, 7563, 9302

Auto

25.8 21%

Teleop

61.6 49%

Endgame

37.3 30%

Strengths

· 7563 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7459, 9485, 7567

/ 100 compat

Projected

57 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 7459, 9485, 7567

Auto

0.9 2%

Teleop

26.1 55%

Endgame

20.5 43%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.8 · Blue 0.93

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score120.3pts

Blue projected score57pts

Red win probability69%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 26%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 63.3
Score range: 39–138
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 195 vs event baseline 98.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

263.1Season APEX248.7

25.8Auto0.9

61.6Teleop26.1

37.3Endgame20.5

48Consistency90

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	13
teleop	72	44
endgame	21	22
foul	0	0
total	116	79

Result

Final score

116 – 79

Prediction correct · off by 13.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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