Regional Brazil - Festival SESI de Educação

Qualification · Qualification 4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

63.32 – 35.58

59%41%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

38 – 33

Prediction correct · off by 14 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 186.1 ±17.2

9162ALL MIGHT

Season APEX 79.7Event APEX 36.31Rank 11Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 94

9048SESI/SENAI P0T1BAT (Potibat)

Provisional

Season APEX 42.3Event APEX 12.43Rank 36Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

9461SESI SENAI MecaChronos

Season APEX 64.1Event APEX 14.58Rank 21Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 95

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 140.3 ±19.7

9460SESI SENAI STEEL BULLS

Season APEX 69.5Event APEX 7.72Rank 32Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8066WOLF ARMY ROBOTICS

Provisional

Season APEX 37.5Event APEX 15.53Rank 31Record 4-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

10297PANTANALBOTS

Provisional

Season APEX 33.3Event APEX 12.33Rank 46Record 2-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9162, 9048, 9461

/ 100 compat

Projected

63.3 pts

~1.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 9162, 9048, 9461

Auto

7.3 11%

Teleop

42.8 63%

Endgame

17.5 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9460, 8066, 10297

/ 100 compat

Projected

35.6 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 9460, 8066, 10297

Auto

9.8 29%

Teleop

9.9 30%

Endgame

13.7 41%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.5 · Blue 1.09

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score63.3pts

Blue projected score35.6pts

Red win probability59%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 29%, blue 21%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 27.7
Score range: 15–84
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 71 vs event baseline 114.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

186.1Season APEX140.3

7.3Auto9.8

42.8Teleop9.9

17.5Endgame13.7

38Consistency34

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	5	2
teleop	20	13
endgame	13	18
foul	0	0
total	38	33

Result

Final score

38 – 33

Prediction correct · off by 14 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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